Bernard Baumohl

Bernard Baumohl is chief global economist at The Economic Outlook Group. He is well known for being ahead of the curve in assessing the direction of the U.S. and world economy. His ability to correctly predict the economy's path was recognized by the Wall Street Journal, which ranked Mr. Baumohl in 2019 as the most accurate economic forecaster.

Mr. Baumohl began his career as an analyst with the Council on Foreign Relations, a think tank specializing in international affairs and national security. He later served as an economist at European American Bank with responsibilities to monitor the global economy and develop forecasts. Mr. Baumohl was also an award-winning economics reporter with TIME magazine who covered the White House, Federal Reserve and Wall Street.

A sought out speaker with an ability to translate complex economic concepts into plain English, he frequently makes keynote presentations before conferences, corporate boards and legislatures on the economic and geopolitical outlook. In additional to his current post, Mr. Baumohl conducts seminars on how forward-looking economic indicators can help business leaders better foresee turning points in the economy. He has also previously lectured at NYU, Duke University and Florida Gulf Coast University.

Mr. Baumohl is a member of the Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Panel and his projections on the economy and geopolitical trends are regularly featured in the New York Times, Washington Post, Business Week, Financial Times, and on National Public Radio. He has also been a regular commentator with a variety of media outlets, including TV's Nightly Business Report.

Mr. Baumohl is author of The Secrets of Economic Indicators: Hidden Clues to Future Economic Trends and Investment Opportunities (Pearson Education). His now classic book is in its 3rd edition and has been translated into several languages, including Chinese, Japanese, Russian, and German.

He is a recipient of the John Hancock Award for Excellence in Financial Journalism, and is a member of the National Association for Business Economics and the American Economic Association. Mr. Baumohl holds an M.A. from Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs.

Speaking topics

What is the outlook for the US and international economy?

Mr. Baumohl lays out the opportunities and risks ahead for the U.S. and international economy. Among the most important themes he covers are these: How has the pandemic fundamentally altered the economic and business landscape and what are the implications for different industries? What is the outlook for economic growth, consumer and business spending, inflation, interest rates, housing, energy prices, employment and trade policies? Which countries will be the leaders and laggards in the global economy? The pandemic was also a painful wake-up call for how unprepared we are to deal with exogenous shocks. So which major economic and geopolitical risks have the highest probability of erupting the next 12 to 24 months? How do you protect your business against such shocks?

Geopolitical Risks: Where is the world headed?

Geopolitical seminar photo

Rarely have business leaders and investors confronted so much uncertainty about the future. While progress has been made to get past the Covid-crisis, global health and economic recoveries are very uneven. At the same time, the world faces a cyber war that is turning more destructive, even crippling some economies. There are also dangerous conflicts looming in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, South China Sea, the Taiwan Strait and with North Korea. You can almost hear the geopolitical pot boiling furiously. Yet the sobering fact is corporate managers and investors still need to make decisions every day--- and be able to justify them. Mr. Baumohl recommends specific steps companies should take to help them prevail over disruptive event in the future.

If you would like to schedule Mr. Baumohl to speak at your next conference, please contact us directly (609-529-1300), or email: sharon_lazard@EconomicOutlookgroup.com

View a brief sample of previous presentations

Recent Client and Audience Testimonials

  • "Thank you for an absolutely excellent keynote presentation. We could not have asked for more and we are so appreciative. It is rare to find a person with your background, knowledge, and ability to deliver an economic update that gets raves." (Chamber of Commerce)
  • "We are happy to be a host sponsor and get a chance to listen to great speakers, like Bernard Baumohl, who presented the economic outlook." (Commercial Real Estate)
  • "Bernie, your presentation was a hit, both in terms of content and delivery. Thank you so much!" (International Trade & Finance)
  • "Bernard Baumohl was fabulous! This was his third visit and the information is always thought-provoking and informative. I simply love to listen to him." (Advertising and Marketing)
  • "Bernard's delivery made a complex, potentially uninteresting topic, very interesting and relatable to the current happenings in the world and in our attendees industry. I heard the same comment from many of our attendees after his talk." (Supply chain industry)
  • "Our clients thought Mr. Baumohl was fantastic and we hope to have him back at our next conference."(Finance)
  • "I wish we could have given him even more time! Throughout the afternoon, folks made a point of telling us how informative and interesting the Economic Keynote was. It was a fabulous luncheon program." (Entertainment industry)
  • "Your presentation was very well received by all. Really appreciate you providing good content and doing it in such an interesting and fun way." (Sports industry)
  • "Most economists are dry but Mr. Baumohl was interesting and provided very useful information." (Travel)
  • "Mr. Baumohl's presentation was a hit. People continued to talk about his forecasts throughout the conference, and they especially enjoyed his engaging and entertaining manner. (Public utilities industry)
  • "I truly enjoyed this speaker. He could have been very technical. However, he presented things in an understandable manner that I could easly pass along to clients as well as others around me." (Human resources)
  • "We received extremely positive feedback and many compliments on your presentation. I hope we will be able to work with you for future events." (Lodging)
  • "Mr. Baumohl is an extraordinary economist. He was able to paint the U.S. macroeconomic environment in a clear, concise fashion. He is also the most accurate economist I have ever met." (Leisure and hospitality)
  • "We are indeed very grateful to Mr. Baumohl for giving such an enlightening speech on the current economic position of our country and the world. All of us learned something valuable. We need to have more of these in future conferences. Great job!." (Major U.S. government agency)
  • "Great talk. An economist with a sense of humor. Excellent content." (Real estate)
  • "Your session on the economic and geopolitical outlook was great and very informative. Thank you for taking the time to be there and present to our group." (Banking)
  • "This speaker made the day; his insightfulness and plain talk were refreshing." (Manufacturing)
  • "Who knew economics could be interesting!" (Export industry)
  • "Fantastic speaker. Great content. Good delivery."(Construction)