The Economic Outlook Group"in the news"
| I 2011 | II 2011 | III 2011 | IV 2011 | I 2012 | II 2012 | III 2012 | IV 2012 | I 2013 | II 2013 | III 2013 | IV 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP): | ||||||||||||
| % | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Personal Consumption Expenditures: | ||||||||||||
| PCE | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.8 |
| Inflation, end of period, year-over-year: | ||||||||||||
| CPI % | 2.7 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Unemployment Rate (end of period): | ||||||||||||
| % | 8.8 | 9.2 | 9.1 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 9.0 | 8.8 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 7.9 |
| Non-farm Payrolls, monthly avg. thousand: | ||||||||||||
| 192 | 130 | 128 | 157 | 165 | 145 | 150 | 220 | 170 | 265 | 280 | 300 | |
| Treasury 10-yr Note Yield % (end of period) | ||||||||||||
| 3.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.5 | |
| Federal funds rate % (end of period) | ||||||||||||
| 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.75 | |
| Country | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US | 1.9 | -0.3 | -3.5 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| Eurozone | 2.6 | 0.6 | -4.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | -2.0 | 1.5 |
| United Kingdom | 3.1 | 0.6 | -4.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| Japan | 2.1 | -0.7 | -5.1 | 3.9 | -0.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Canada | 2.7 | 0.7 | -2.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3.0 |
| India | 8.9 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 8.0 |
| China | 14.2 | 9.6 | 9.2 | 10.4 | 9.2 | 8.3 | 9.0 |
| Brazil | 5.7 | 5.1 | -0.6 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 5.8 |
| Mexico | 3.3 | 1.4 | -6.6 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| Australia | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 4.0 |
| Russia | 8.1 | 5.6 | -7.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.7 |
| World | 4.9 | 2.0 | -0.6 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 4.2 |
| End 2008 | End 2009 | End 2010 | End 2011 | End 2012 | End 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/Yen | 91 | 93 | 81 | 77 | 79 | 77 |
| Euro/USD | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.34 | 1.29 | 1.39 | 1.42 |
| End 2008 | End 2009 | End 2010 | End 2011 | End 2012 | End 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude oil per barrel | 43 | 80 | 91 | 99 | 105 | 110 |
| Gasoline | 1.61 | 2.57 | 3.00 | 3.27 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| End 2009 | End 2010 | End 2011 | % Change '11 | End 2012 | % Change '12 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJIA | 10,428 | 11,577 | 12,218 | 5.5 | 13,314 | 9.0 |
| S&P 500 | 1,115 | 1,258 | 1,258 | 0.0 | 1,397 | 11.0 |
| NASDAQ | 2,269 | 2,653 | 2,605 | -1.8 | 2,785 | 6.9 |
| RUSSELL 2000 | 625 | 784 | 741 | -5.5 | 778 | 5.0 |